Friday, November 06, 2026

VBM update: All retention judges remain above 60%

This update is courtesy of the ubiquitous Frank Calabrese (follow on X at @FrankCalabrese):
These were the two judges with the lowest percentage of 'yes' votes on Election Night. Barring something really unlikely, if these candidates stay above 60%, then it is likely that all retention candidates will indeed be retained.

I had been told that there are a lot of uncounted ballots still out there. That seems to be the case for the City, possibly less so for suburban Cook County. Here's what the Chicago Board of Elections website is showing as of 11:30 a.m. this morning:
That's a very large received-but-not-yet-counted number, but the update is dated yesterday. The sent-but-not-yet-returned number is also large, but it is not as important: Since all ballots had to be postmarked by Election Day, with each passing day it becomes more and more likely that the ballots in this category will never show up. Three days after the election, it's still too early to say that most of these not-yet-returned ballots won't show up, but a significant portion never will.

The suburban Cook County numbers, updated at 10:30 a.m. this morning, show a much smaller uncounted number:
Note that the number of sent-but-not-returned number has dropped by about 12,000 since November 4 -- meaning lots of ballots were returned yesterday or today. There may be a lot more received later today or tomorrow, too, but ballots postmarked on or before Election Day should be in hand soon.

We'll have to keep watching....

No comments: